Final Projections & Margins for the 2020 Election
Updated: Aug 24, 2022
Here is our ER Predictive Model's final projections and margins as of 3:00PM on November 3rd, 2020.
Released to our subscribers on November 3rd at 3:00PM.
Released publicly on November 4th at 12:00AM.
PRESIDENT:
Alabama - Safe Trump | Trump +26.6
Alaska - Likely Trump | Trump +9.8
Arkansas - Safe Trump | Trump +27.3
Arizona - Tilt Trump | Trump +0.3
California - Safe Biden | Biden +32.9
Colorado - Likely Biden I Biden +9.9
Connecticut - Safe Biden I Biden +18.6
Washington D.C. - Safe Biden | Biden +89.2
Delaware - Safe Biden | Biden +19.2
Florida - Tilt Trump | Trump +2.4
Georgia - Tilt Trump | Trump +0.8
Hawaii - Safe Biden | Biden +30.7
Iowa - Lean Trump | Trump +5.8
Idaho - Safe Trump | Trump +29.4
Illinois - Safe Biden | Biden +14.5
Indiana - Safe Trump | Trump +15.3
Kansas - Likely Trump | Trump +14.0
Kentucky - Safe Trump | Trump +24.6
Louisiana - Safe Trump | Trump +18.1
Massachusetts - Safe Biden | Biden +34.8
Maryland - Safe Biden | Biden +29.0
Maine AL - Safe Biden | Biden +10.1
Maine 1CD - Likely Biden | Biden +8.4
Maine 2CD - Tilt Trump | Trump +1.3
Michigan - Tilt Biden | Biden +2.5
Minnesota - Tilt Biden | Biden +3.0
Missouri - Safe Trump | Trump +15.7
Mississippi - Safe Trump | Trump +19.8
Montana - Likely Trump | Trump +9.6
North Carolina - Tilt Trump | Trump +0.6
North Dakota - Safe Trump | Trump +31.4
Nebraska AL - Safe Trump | Trump +14.9
Nebraska 1CD - Safe Trump | Trump +16.3
Nebraska 2CD - Tilt Biden | Biden +0.5
Nebraska 3CD - Safe Trump | Trump +16.7
New Hampshire - Lean Biden | Biden +5.8
New Jersey - Safe Biden | Biden +19.1
New Mexico - Likely Biden | Biden +9.3
Nevada - Tilt Biden | Biden +2.7
New York - Safe Biden | Biden +14.1
Ohio - Lean Trump | Trump +5.8
Oklahoma - Safe Trump | Trump +32.4
Oregon - Safe Biden | Biden +17.7
Pennsylvania - Tilt Biden | Biden +0.4
Rhode Island - Safe Biden | Biden +20.5
South Carolina - Likely Trump | Trump +9.2
South Dakota - Safe Trump | Trump +24.9
Tennessee - Safe Trump | Trump +22.0
Texas - Lean Trump | Trump +4.9
Utah - Safe Trump | Trump +19.5
Virginia - Likely Biden | Biden +9.8
Vermont - Safe Biden | Biden +37.2
Washington - Safe Biden | Biden +21.1
Wisconsin - Tilt Biden | Biden +1.3
West Virginia - Safe Trump | Trump +38.0
Wyoming - Safe Trump | Trump +41.4
SENATE:
Alabama - Likely GOP | GOP +9.6
Arkansas - Safe GOP | GOP +31.6
Arizona - Tilt DEM | DEM +3.0
Colorado - Likely DEM | DEM +9.7
Delaware - Safe DEM | DEM +22.5
Georgia Regular - Tilt GOP | GOP +0.9 *Run Off Projected*
Georgia Special - Tilt GOP | GOP Combined +0.5 *Run Off Projected*
Iowa - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.9
Idaho - Safe GOP | GOP +28.4
Illinois - Safe DEM | DEM +14.3
Kansas - Likely GOP | GOP +9.8
Kentucky - Likely GOP | GOP +9.8
Louisiana - Safe GOP | GOP +39.8
Massachusetts - Safe DEM | +35.0
Maine - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.9
Michigan - Tilt DEM | DEM +1.5
Minnesota - Tilt DEM | DEM +3.0
Mississippi - Safe GOP | GOP +13.1
Montana - Lean GOP | GOP +5.8
North Carolina - Tilt GOP | GOP +0.9
Nebraska - Safe GOP | GOP +39.9
New Hampshire - Likely DEM | DEM +9.6
New Jersey - Safe DEM | DEM +20.2
New Mexico - Likely DEM | DEM +6.6
Oklahoma - Safe GOP | GOP +29.9
Oregon - Safe DEM | DEM +19.3
Rhode Island - Safe DEM | DEM +35.0
South Carolina - Lean GOP | GOP +6.0
South Dakota - Safe GOP | GOP +29.5
Tennessee - Safe GOP | GOP +26.1
Texas - Likely GOP | GOP +9.7
Virginia - Safe DEM | DEM +13.2
West Virginia - Safe GOP | GOP +39.5
Wyoming - Safe GOP | GOP +45.9
HOUSE:
AL1 - Safe GOP | GOP +27.6
AL2 - Safe GOP | GOP +28.3
AL3 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.1
AL4 - Safe GOP | GOP +62.4
AL5 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
AL6 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
AL7 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
AK - Lean GOP | GOP +5.5
AZ1 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.0
AZ2 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.6
AZ3 - Safe DEM | DEM +28.6
AZ4 - Safe GOP | GOP +36.1
AZ5 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.8
AZ6 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.3
AZ7 - Safe DEM | DEM + 55.2
AZ8 - Safe GOP | GOP +13.0
AZ9 - Safe DEM | DEM +26.7
AR1 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
AR2 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.8
AR3 - Safe GOP | GOP +29.3
AR4 - Safe GOP | GOP +38.9
CA1 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.7
CA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +56.8
CA3 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.4
CA4 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.9
CA5 - Safe DEM | DEM +58.0
CA6 - Safe DEM | DEM +53.1
CA7 - Safe DEM | DEM +20.1
CA8 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.6
CA9 - Safe DEM | DEM +21.7
CA10 - Lean DEM | DEM +6.0
CA11 - Safe DEM | DEM +48.5
CA12 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA13 - Safe DEM | DEM +79.2
CA14 - Safe DEM | DEM +62.8
CA15 - Safe DEM | DEM +46.3
CA16 - Safe DEM | DEM +19.9
CA17 - Safe DEM | DEM +45.6
CA18 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA19 - Safe DEM | DEM +46.4
CA20 - Safe DEM | DEM +56.0
CA21 - Tilt GOP | GOP +1.1
CA22 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.7
CA23 - Safe GOP | GOP +15.7
CA24 - Safe DEM | DEM +22.8
CA25 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.1
CA26 - Safe DEM | DEM +24.2
CA27 - Safe DEM | DEM +40.9
CA28 - Safe DEM | DEM +48.9
CA29 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA30 - Safe DEM | DEM +41.2
CA31 - Safe DEM | DEM +24.8
CA32 - Safe DEM | DEM +34.0
CA33 - Safe DEM | DEM +36.1
CA34 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA35 - Safe DEM | DEM +41.5
CA36 - Safe DEM | DEM +24.3
CA37 - Safe DEM | DEM +71.3
CA38 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA39 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.8
CA40 - Safe DEM | DEM +46.2
CA41 - Safe DEM | DEM +30.7
CA42 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.7
CA43 - Safe DEM | DEM +48.4
CA44 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CA45 - Likely DEM | DEM +8.8
CA46 - Safe DEM | DEM +40.1
CA47 - Safe DEM | DEM +28.9
CA48 - Tilt DEM | DEM +1.3
CA49 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.3
CA50 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.4
CA51 - Safe DEM | DEM +41.2
CA52 - Safe DEM | DEM +26.0
CA53 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
CO1 - Safe DEM | DEM +52.0
CO2 - Safe DEM | DEM +27.9
CO3 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.2
CO4 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.5
CO5 - Safe GOP | GOP +18.4
CO6 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.5
CO7 - Safe DEM | DEM +22.2
CT1 - Safe DEM | DEM +28.2
CT2 - Safe DEM | DEM +23.6
CT3 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.1
CT4 - Safe DEM | DEM +24.7
CT5 - Safe DEM | DEM +12.5
DE - Safe DEM | DEM +19.9
FL1 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.1
FL2 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
FL3 - Safe GOP | GOP +13.8
FL4 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.2
FL5 - Safe DEM | DEM +26.0
FL6 - Safe GOP | GOP +23.2
FL7 - Safe DEM | DEM +11.7
FL8 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.3
FL9 - Safe DEM | DEM +11.1
FL10 - Safe DEM | DEM +25.9
FL11 - Safe GOP | GOP +34.9
FL12 - Safe GOP | GOP +26.6
FL13 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.4
FL14 - Safe DEM | DEM +19.5
FL15 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.9
FL16 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.8
FL17 - Safe GOP | GOP +26.3
FL18 - Safe GOP | GOP +14.9
FL19 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.2
FL20 - Safe DEM | DEM +55.5
FL21 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.5
FL22 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.5
FL23 - Safe DEM | DEM +15.1
FL24 - Safe DEM | DEM +54.6
FL25 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
FL26 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.4
FL27 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.8
GA1 - Safe GOP | GOP +17.7
GA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.2
GA3 - Safe GOP | GOP +33.2
GA4 - Safe DEM | DEM +58.0
GA5 - Safe DEM | DEM +65.4
GA6 - Likely DEM | DEM +8.1
GA7 - Lean DEM | DEM +3.2
GA8 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.3
GA9 - Safe GOP | GOP +59.5
GA10 - Safe GOP | GOP +26.7
GA11 - Safe GOP | GOP +21.6
GA12 - Safe GOP | GOP +16.0
GA13 - Safe DEM | DEM +51.3
GA14 - Safe GOP | GOP +50.9
HI1 - Safe DEM | DEM +45.4
HI2 - Safe DEM | DEM +32.8
ID1 - Safe GOP | GOP +37.2
ID2 - Safe GOP | GOP +31.7
IL1 - Safe DEM | DEM +44.2
IL2 - Safe DEM | DEM +49.8
IL3 - Safe DEM | DEM +11.3
IL4 - Safe DEM | DEM +64.5
IL5 - Safe DEM | DEM +40.4
IL6 - Safe DEM | DEM +12.0
IL7 - Safe DEM | DEM +68.0
IL8 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
IL9 - Safe DEM | DEM +39.1
IL10 - Safe DEM | DEM +23.5
IL11 - Safe DEM | DEM +27.2
IL12 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.6
IL13 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.6
IL14 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.1
IL15 - Safe GOP | GOP +43.9
IL16 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.4
IL17 - Tilt DEM | DEM +2.9
IL18 - Safe GOP | GOP +40.7
IN1 - Safe DEM | DEM +16.8
IN2 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.5
IN3 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.3
IN4 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.0
IN5 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.4
IN6 - Safe GOP | GOP + 37.9
IN7 - Safe DEM | DEM +27.2
IN8 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.6
IN9 - Safe GOP | GOP +23.2
IA1 - Tilt GOP | GOP +1.3
IA2 - Tilt DEM | DEM +1.9
IA3 - Tilt DEM | DEM +2.2
IA4 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.5
KS1 - Safe GOP | GOP + 39.4
KS2 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.9
KS3 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.7
KS4 - Safe GOP | GOP +27.7
KY1 - Safe GOP | GOP +44.3
KY2 - Safe GOP | GOP +40.4
KY3 - Safe DEM | DEM +27.9
KY4 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.8
KY5 - Safe GOP | GOP +68.5
KY6 - Likely GOP | GOP +13.5
LA1 - Safe GOP | GOP +46.5
LA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +51.5
LA3 - Safe GOP | GOP +49.0
LA4 - Safe GOP | GOP +33.8
LA5 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.1 Combined All GOP Candidates *Run Off Projected*
LA6 - Safe GOP | GOP +44.6
ME1 - Safe DEM | DEM +26.2
ME2 - Tilt DEM | DEM +2.7
MD1 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.9
MD3 - Safe DEM | DEM +38.0
MD4 - Safe DEM | DEM +60.1
MD5 - Safe DEM | DEM +35.5
MD6 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.0
MD7 - Safe DEM | DEM +45.7
MD8 - Safe DEM | DEM +31.3
MA1 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
MA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +33.6
MA3 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
MA4 - Safe DEM | DEM +21.0
MA5 - Safe DEM | DEM +50.4
MA6 - Safe DEM | DEM +32.8
MA7 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
MA8 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
MA9 - Safe DEM | DEM +29.2
MI1 - Safe GOP | GOP +23.1
MI2 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.8
MI3 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.6
MI4 - Safe GOP | GOP +34.4
MI5 - Likely DEM | DEM +8.9
MI6 - Lean GOP | GOP +15.7
MI7 - Safe GOP | GOP +15.0
MI8 - Tilt DEM | DEM +2.8
MI9 - Safe DEM | DEM +21.5
MI10 - Safe GOP | GOP +33.9
MI11 - Likely DEM | DEM +7.1
MI12 - Safe DEM | DEM +37.4
MI13 - Safe DEM | DEM +55.3
MI14 - Safe DEM | DEM +58.6
MN1 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.5
MN2 - Lean DEM | DEM +3.8
MN3 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.0
MN4 - Safe DEM | DEM +31.7
MN5 - Safe DEM | DEM +35.7
MN6 - Safe GOP | GOP +31.0
MN7 - Tilt GOP | GOP +1.9
MN8 - Lean GOP | GOP +17.3
MS1 - Safe GOP | GOP +40.6
MS2 - Safe DEM | DEM +33.1
MS3 - Safe GOP | GOP +31.5
MS4 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
MO1 - Safe DEM | DEM +62.8
MO2 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.7
MO3 - Safe GOP | GOP +37.7
MO4 - Safe GOP | GOP +37.2
MO5 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.0
MO6 - Safe GOP | GOP +36.5
MO7 - Safe GOP | GOP +36.9
MO8 - Safe GOP | GOP +52.4
MT - Tilt GOP | GOP +3.0
NE1 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.2
NE2 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.3
NE3 - Safe GOP | GOP +58.7
NV1 - Safe DEM | DEM +33.8
NV2 - Safe GOP | GOP +12.4
NV3 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.4
NV4 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.3
NH1 - Likely DEM | DEM +6.5
NH2 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.0
NJ1 - Safe DEM | DEM +25.9
NJ2 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.9
NJ3 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.8
NJ4 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.1
NJ5 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.4
NJ6 - Safe DEM | DEM +24.6
NJ7 - Likely DEM | DEM +7.3
NJ8 - Safe DEM | DEM +50.0
NJ9 - Safe DEM | DEM +37.7
NJ10 - Safe DEM | DEM +73.5
NJ11 - Likely DEM | DEM +12.6
NJ12 - Safe DEM | DEM +37.5
NM1 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.2
NM2 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.8
NM3 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.3
NY1 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.9
NY2 - Tilt GOP | GOP +3.0
NY3 - Tilt DEM | DEM +2.7
NY4 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.8
NY5 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
NY6 - Safe DEM | DEM +29.5
NY7 - Safe DEM | DEM +70.5
NY8 - Safe DEM | DEM +69.9
NY9 - Safe DEM | DEM +67.2
NY10 - Safe DEM | DEM +41.4
NY11 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.9
NY12 - Safe DEM | DEM +62.0
NY13 - Safe DEM | DEM +82.7
NY14 - Safe DEM | DEM +42.5
NY15 - Safe DEM | DEM +79.8
NY16 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
NY17 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.7
NY18 - Lean DEM | DEM +3.3
NY19 - Lean DEM | DEM +3.1
NY20 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.9
NY21 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.6
NY22 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.8
NY23 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.9
NY24 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.9
NY25 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.5
NY26 - Safe DEM | DEM +34.5
NY27 - Likely GOP | GOP +30.0
NC1 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.4
NC2 - Safe DEM | DEM +28.5
NC3 - Safe GOP | GOP +26.0
NC4 - Safe DEM | DEM +35.8
NC5 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.9
NC6 - Safe DEM | DEM +25.2
NC7 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.4
NC8 - Likely GOP | GOP +7.1
NC9 - Likely GOP | GOP +12.2
NC10 - Safe GOP | GOP +36.3
NC11 - Safe GOP | GOP +11.3
NC12 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
NC13 - Safe GOP | GOP +34.5
ND - Safe GOP | GOP +41.1
OH1 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.2
OH2 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.8
OH3 - Safe DEM | DEM +43.3
OH4 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.9
OH5 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.2
OH6 - Safe GOP | GOP +48.5
OH7 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.8
OH8 - Safe GOP | GOP +38.0
OH9 - Safe DEM | DEM +28.5
OH10 - Safe GOP | GOP +15.7
OH11 - Safe DEM | DEM +64.7
OH12 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.8
OH13 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.3
OH14 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.0
OH15 - Safe GOP | GOP +27.6
OH16 - Safe GOP | GOP +26.1
OK1 - Safe GOP | GOP +30.5
OK2 - Safe GOP | GOP +55.8
OK3 - Safe GOP | GOP +55.6
OK4 - Safe GOP | GOP +37.2
OK5 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.8
OR1 - Safe DEM | DEM +31.7
OR2 - Safe GOP | GOP +23.2
OR3 - Safe DEM | DEM +51.9
OR4 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.6
OR5 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.2
PA1 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.0
PA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +42.1
PA3 - Safe DEM | DEM +79.8
PA4 - Safe DEM | DEM +15.3
PA5 - Safe DEM | DEM +30.3
PA6 - Safe DEM | DEM +13.5
PA7 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.7
PA8 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.9
PA9 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.8
PA10 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.4
PA11 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.5
PA12 - Safe GOP | GOP +40.0
PA13 - Safe GOP | GOP +45.6
PA14 - Safe GOP | GOP +31.8
PA15 - Safe GOP | GOP +46.1
PA16 - Safe GOP | GOP +18.6
PA17 - Likely DEM | DEM +6.1
PA18 - Safe DEM | DEM +34.8
RI1 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
RI2 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.9
SC1 - Tilt GOP | GOP +1.4
SC2 - Safe GOP | GOP +13.5
SC3 - Safe GOP | GOP +39.4
SC4 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.0
SC5 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.3
SC6 - Safe DEM | DEM +38.1
SC7 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.7
SD - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
TN1 - Safe GOP | GOP +49.4
TN2 - Safe GOP | GOP +34.8
TN3 - Safe GOP | GOP +35.3
TN4 - Safe GOP | GOP +33.5
TN5 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
TN6 - Safe GOP | GOP +50.1
TN7 - Safe GOP | GOP +44.9
TN8 - Safe GOP | GOP +40.0
TN9 - Safe DEM | DEM +55.2
TX1 - Safe GOP | GOP +41.7
TX2 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.9
TX3 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.3
TX4 - Safe GOP | GOP +48.0
TX5 - Safe GOP | GOP +24.6
TX6 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.0
TX7 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.9
TX8 - Safe GOP | GOP +41.8
TX9 - Safe DEM | DEM +55.9
TX10 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.7
TX11 - Safe GOP | GOP +55.5
TX12 - Safe GOP | GOP +27.2
TX13 - Safe GOP | GOP +58.4
TX14 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.5
TX15 - Safe DEM | DEM +10.4
TX16 - Safe DEM | DEM +33.1
TX17 - Safe GOP | GOP +15.6
TX18 - Safe DEM | DEM +52.7
TX19 - Safe GOP | GOP +47.2
TX20 - Safe DEM | DEM +34.9
TX21 - Tilt GOP | GOP +0.5
TX22 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.1
TX23 - Tilt GOP | GOP +0.6
TX24 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.7
TX25 - Safe GOP | GOP +10.3
TX26 - Safe GOP | GOP +11.3
TX27 - Safe GOP | GOP +24.4
TX28 - Safe DEM | DEM +22.9
TX29 - Safe DEM | DEM +47.7
TX30 - Safe DEM | DEM +60.0
TX31 - Lean GOP | GOP +4.4
TX32 - Lean DEM | DEM +6.0
TX33 - Safe DEM | DEM +45.6
TX34 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.1
TX35 - Safe DEM | DEM +38.1
TX36 - Safe GOP | GOP +43.5
UT1 - Safe GOP | GOP +38.2
UT2 - Safe GOP | GOP +21.9
UT3 - Safe GOP | GOP +42.5
UT4 - Tilt DEM | DEM +0.3
VT - Safe DEM | DEM +41.4
VA1 - Safe GOP | GOP +16.2
VA2 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.8
VA3 - Safe DEM | DEM +31.8
VA4 - Likely DEM | DEM +9.8
VA5 - Lean GOP | GOP +5.4
VA6 - Safe GOP | GOP +24.5
VA7 - Tilt DEM | DEM +1.4
VA8 - Safe DEM | DEM +52.2
VA9 - Safe GOP | GOP +Uncontested
VA10 - Lean DEM | DEM +5.9
VA11 - Safe DEM | DEM +40.6
WA1 - Safe DEM | DEM +17.9
WA2 - Safe DEM | DEM +27.0
WA3 - Tilt GOP | GOP +2.5
WA4 - Likely GOP | GOP +9.9
WA5 - Safe GOP | GOP +22.2
WA6 - Safe DEM | DEM +21.5
WA7 - Safe DEM | DEM +67.1
WA8 - Lean DEM | DEM +4.0
WA9 - Safe DEM | DEM +49.0
WA10 - Safe DEM | DEM +Uncontested
WV1 - Safe GOP | GOP +37.5
WV2 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.3
WV3 - Safe GOP | GOP +42.7
WI1 - Safe GOP | GOP +19.8
WI2 - Safe DEM | DEM +40.5
WI3 - Lean DEM | DEM +3.1
WI4 - Safe DEM | DEM +50.9
WI5 - Safe GOP | GOP +20.2
WI6 -Safe GOP | GOP +20.6
WI7 - Safe GOP | GOP +21.8
WI8 - Safe GOP | GOP +25.3
WY - Safe GOP | GOP +44.5
GOVERNORS:
Delaware - Safe DEM | DEM +21.5
Indiana - Safe GOP | GOP +22.2
Missouri - Likely GOP | GOP +15.7
Montana - Lean GOP | GOP +5.4
North Carolina - Lean DEM | DEM +5.0
North Dakota - Safe GOP | GOP +39.3
New Hampshire - Safe GOP | GOP +15.2
Utah - Safe GOP | GOP +31.6
Vermont - Safe GOP | GOP +13.8
Washington - Safe DEM | DEM +16.3
West Virginia - Safe GOP | GOP +30.1
STATE LEGISLATURES - UPPER CHAMBERS:
(Includes Nebraska Unicameral)
Alaska - Safe GOP
Arkansas - Safe GOP
Arizona - Tilt GOP
California - Safe DEM
Colorado - Safe DEM
Connecticut - Safe DEM
Delaware - Safe DEM
Florida - Safe GOP
Georgia - Likely GOP
Hawaii - Safe DEM
Iowa - Safe GOP
Idaho - Safe GOP
Illinois - Safe DEM
Indiana - Safe GOP
Kansas - Safe GOP
Kentucky - Safe GOP
Massachusetts - Safe DEM
Maine - Lean DEM
Minnesota - Tilt GOP
Missouri - Safe GOP
Montana - Safe GOP
North Carolina - Tilt GOP
North Dakota - Safe GOP
Nebraska - Safe GOP
New Hampshire - Tilt DEM
New Mexico - Safe DEM
Nevada - Likely DEM
New York - Safe DEM
Ohio - Safe GOP
Oklahoma - Safe GOP
Oregon - Safe DEM
Pennsylvania - Lean GOP
Rhode Island - Safe DEM
South Carolina - Safe GOP
South Dakota - Safe GOP
Tennessee - Safe GOP
Texas - Safe GOP
Utah - Safe GOP
Vermont - Safe DEM
Washington - Safe DEM
Wisconsin - Likely GOP
West Virginia - Lean GOP
Wyoming - Safe GOP
STATE LEGISLATURES - LOWER CHAMBERS:
Alaska - Lean GOP
Arkansas - Safe GOP
Arizona - Tilt GOP
California - Safe DEM
Colorado - Safe DEM
Connecticut - Safe DEM
Delaware - Safe DEM
Florida - Likely GOP
Georgia - Likely GOP
Hawaii - Safe DEM
Iowa - Tilt GOP
Idaho - Safe GOP
Illinois - Safe DEM
Indiana - Safe GOP
Kansas - Safe GOP
Kentucky - Safe GOP
Massachusetts - Safe DEM
Maine - Likely DEM
Michigan - Tilt GOP
Minnesota - Lean DEM
Missouri - Safe GOP
Montana - Safe GOP
North Carolina - Tilt GOP
North Dakota - Safe GOP
New Hampshire - Safe DEM
New Mexico - Safe DEM
Nevada - Safe DEM
New York - Safe DEM
Ohio - Safe GOP
Oklahoma - Safe GOP
Oregon - Safe DEM
Pennsylvania - Tilt GOP
Rhode Island - Safe DEM
South Carolina - Safe GOP
South Dakota - Safe GOP
Tennessee - Safe GOP
Texas - Tilt GOP
Utah - Safe GOP
Vermont - Safe DEM
Washington - Safe DEM
Wisconsin - Safe GOP
West Virginia - Safe GOP
Wyoming - Safe GOP