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ELECTION PROJECTIONS

2026 Gubernatorial Mid-Term Election

*Projections Updated: 11/3/2026 @ 1:00PM PST* FINAL PROJECTIONS

U.S. SENATE
U.S. HOUSE
U.S. GOVERNORS
U.S. STATE LEGISLATURES

UPPER CHAMBERS:

(Includes Nebraska Unicameral)

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REPUBLICANS: 27 Chambers

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DEMOCRATS: 23 Chambers

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LOWER CHAMBERS:

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REPUBLICANS: 27 Chambers

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DEMOCRATS: 22 Chambers

Election Recon Model Generic Ballot Projection:
 

Current Projection: (D + 8.1%)
Democrats - 53.1%
Republicans - 45.0%
Other - 1.9%

CA STATE SENATE
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CA STATE ASSEMBLY
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PREVIOUS PROJECTIONS ARCHIVE

Past Election Projections

Below is a list of prior election projections by us at Election Recon. Click on an archived election below to review past results.

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